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Baker Mayfield and Odell Backham Jr. Prop Bets Are a Rollercoaster Ride this Year

Following a 31-3 Monday night undressing at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers, the Cleveland Browns are five games into the season and sit at 2-3 (and 2-3 ATS), good for second place in the AFC North. The highly touted offense lead by Baker Mayfield and newly added superstar Odell Beckham Jr. have, to put it mildly, underwhelmed thus far. The connection between the two just hasn’t come to fruition yet.

Beckham just being on the field and running routes, opens up a whole lot of things for the rest of the Cleveland Browns offense as Beckham commands double coverage on many routes. That hasn’t exactly proven beneficial to the offense quite yet, as they have struggled through the first five games to find any type of rhythm. The lack of production on offense has left both Beckham and Mayfield behind the pace for their Las Vegas season totals.

Entering the season Beckham had a receiving yardage total Over / Under of 1.275.5 and a total touchdown mark of 9.5. Thus far through five games, Odell has compiled only 335 yards and one score. Putting him on pace for 1,072 yards on the season which would leave him just shy of his season total if he continues on this pace. The touchdown pace is really hard to judge at this point because you know the three-touchdown game is only a matter of time. While we haven’t seen the fireworks that most where expecting when Beckham signed with the Browns, the truth is this team has a lot of talent and a lot of mouths to feed on the offensive side.

When the team really sets their identity on offense that is when the true role for Odell Beckham will emerge. He is putting in the effort week in and week out, running solid routes, eating up double teams and blocking surprisingly well downfield. Something, I must admit, I wasn’t aware he did so well until I watched tape of him a bit closer as a member of the Browns. Needless to say Beckham is a tremendous weapon on the field and I know Baker Mayfield is happy to have him.

Baker Mayfield Prop Bet Numbers Are Kind of Pedestrian So Far

When we look at Baker Mayfield’s numbers through five games they don’t really jump off the page either. As a matter of fact, Mayfield’s play to start the season has come under great deal of scrutiny from the local and national media. His QBR numbers have been deplorable to start the season and he has only thrown for four touchdowns on the year. He will need to more than double that pace from here on out in order to eclipse his 31.5 passing touchdown prop that he had coming into the season. Mayfield is only slightly behind pace on his passing yards season total prop of 4,325.5.

Through an up and mostly down first five games, Baker has amassed 1,247 yards putting him at a just under 4,000 yard pace for the season. The fact is Mayfield thus far hasn’t looked anything like the quarterback we saw come in and set the world on fire last year. He has been consistently pressured on drop backs and just doesn’t look comfortable back there throwing the ball. The Cleveland Browns are stacked and when it all comes together it will be scary.

Expect the Mayfield to Beckham connection to get stronger as the season wears on. We haven’t seen nearly enough deep balls or back corner fades from these two so far, something I was expecting to see a lot of, especially back shoulder throws and jump balls to the back corner in goal line situations. The sky is the limit for this offense, and I am excited to see how it continues to play out as the young Cleveland Browns try to find their identity.

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