Coming off of a tough home loss to the Rams on Monday night, the Browns headed to Baltimore on Sunday to take on the Ravens as 7-point underdogs. Things looked great early as Cleveland took a 10 – 7 lead into the locker room at halftime after a first half that saw some good play from both sides. The second half was another story as the Ravens allowed the Browns, namely Nick Chubb, to take things over and eventually win by a shockingly easy margin of 40 – 25. Flying way over the total for the game and giving the Browns an impressive road victory against a division rival. Let’s stick with those 2 tight end sets Freddie!
The Browns impressive win against the Ravens did not go unnoticed by the books either as we saw the Cleveland Browns odds to win the AFC North dip from +160 to +140 while the loss had a similar effect on the Ravens moving their number up from -140 to -125. Given the decisive nature of the Browns victory I would have expected these numbers to move a bit more dramatically. Maybe closer to even money on both the Ravens and Browns. I feel there is some good value still here on the Browns to win the AFC North at +140. After this tough stretch to start the season, the Browns schedule really opens up after their bye week in week 7.
With two tough games against San Francisco and Seattle ahead a .500 record heading into the bye will be looking pretty good given the current state of the AFC North. The Bengals and Steelers look lost and we just saw what the Browns did to the Ravens. At the point it looks to be two horse race in the division and Sundays win surly gave the Browns a leg up.
Cleveland Browns Odds and Browns Week 5 Preview
Cleveland’s Super Bowl 54 odds also saw a jump following the victory on Sunday. The Browns are now the 4th choice to win the big game at +2600. That’s down from +3000 prior to Sunday’s game. Cleveland’s current adjusted win total for the season is Over / Under 9.5. That’s is now up a half point from the preseason total of 9. Telling us the Browns are now currently ahead of prior projections.
This week the Browns a preparing for another spotlight game on Monday night in San Francisco. The Browns head into this matchup a 3 – 3.5 point road dogs against the 49ers with the total set at 46.5 (down from 47.5 at open). This game did actually open at SF-4.5 in some books and the 3.5 number scares me if I’m a Browns supporter. Kyle Shanahan has famously struggled out of the bye so it should be interesting to see how things play out on Monday night.
I expect the Browns the to be able to move the ball and possibly capitalize on some turnovers from the 49ers. I am concerned about the screen game and all the different looks that Kyle Shanahan uses. Expect San Francisco to try and neutralize the Browns pass rush by implementing different screen passes for the running backs and George Kittle on shallow crossing routes. It should be a challenge for the Browns on Monday, one that I think they are up for though.